5 Important Phases of Bitcoin Halving

Bitcoin is a very enticing digital currency, and a pivotal event recurs roughly every 4 years, “Bitcoin Halving.” It holds the power to reshape the financial landscape of the Bitcoin market. Halving the mining fees is the primary role of keeping the required interest in BTC. As per the market experts, around April 23, 2024, the 4th halving will take place when the network hits a range of 740,000 blocks. During this period, the current rewards, which are 6.25 BTC, will decrease to 3.125 BTC.

• Phase 1: Pre halving downside

Phase 1 of Bitcoin halving is a pre-halving downside; in simple terms, it is “Navigating Correction Before the Surge”. At the preliminary stage, before halving took place, BTC prices moved on the downside, creating a price movement. However, this phase has been concluded, which is indicated by the Weekly Candle Close.

This transition is vital as it precedes the subsequent pre-halving rally phase, which is a notable shift in market sentiments as the upward momentum starts. Such a shift from the downside to the rally became a visual marker, showcasing the transformative nature of this important event. History retrace shows that investment in this period leads to great ROI in several months post-halving.

• Phase 2: Pre-halving rally

The eager anticipation of building momentum is what a pre-halving rally is all about. Occurs approximately 2 months before the halving, it creates a substantial surge in the BTC prices. In the current cycle, this phase began a few days earlier than expected; this showcases the changes in the historical trend of breakout pre-halving. Breakout marks the end of a prolonged period of downside and initiates the stage for possible gains.

During the pre-halving rally, leading investors adopt a strategic approach: “Buy the Hype, Sell the News.” With this, they capitalize on the pre-event enthusiasm of BTC and purchase them and shortly thereafter sell them strategically after halving by leveraging the market dynamics. The stage for subsequent retracing is set by the rally phase.

• Phase 3: Pre-halving retrace

This distinctive phase occurs a few weeks before the actual halving; this retrace shows the decline in the price of BTC. According to historical data, the retracement in 2016 was 38%, while in 2020, the measured retrace was 20%. Such a vast decline makes investors skeptical about halving prices’ excellent impact. Retrace has now become a critical field for market participants to reassess their expectations and earn their credibility.

The retrace is becoming a visually compelling element, prompting the market to gain a bull run. It may present a slight dip at certain levels, but it sets up the groundwork for other phases and offers specific opportunities for building strategies around accumulation.

• Phase 4: Reaccumulation post-halving

The previous steps showcase those phases that act pre-halving, but once the halving occurs, two phases have yet to act; One of those is the post-halving reaccumulation. This navigates the stability again, which is generated by market flux. In simple terms, it is an extended period of stability and sideways movement displayed in red on the chart. It can not be temporary and lasts for 150 days.

At this interval, some investors generate impatience as there is a lack of price movement, leading to premature exit from their position. The importance of patience and resilience signifies the fluctuation in the prize. It is preceded by the highly anticipated parabolic run-up, which is building a foundation for the next market cycle.

• Phase 5: Parabolic uptrend, growth, and new height

After all the pre-existing facilities, cumulative growth and elevating to new heights is what a parabolic uptrend is all about. From the tranquility of the consolidation period, Bitcoin has come across and marketed rapid growth, achieving a new all-time high. This phase is synonymous and captures the essence of robust bull gains coursing across the market.

The parabolic run-up gives investors substantial returns over the portfolio. Bitcoin is predicted to hit $1 million, but a navigated observation and strategic approach are required in this financial period.